Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryYordan
10HR →24
27R →59
25RBI →59
10SB ←2
.193AVG →.307
Current Season
ConnorCategoryYordan
4HR →20
16R →39
15RBI →39
6SB ←1
.208AVG →.301
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Norby
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Yordan Alvarez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.492, +0.177 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Connor Norby: 10 HR / 27 R. Yordan Alvarez: 24 HR / 59 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).