Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryPeter
88K ←80
4.06ERA →3.98
1.31WHIP ←1.42
2–4W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
ConnorCategoryPeter
35K →43
5.13ERA →3.77
1.35WHIP →1.21
1W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Prielipp
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.81)
Peter Lambert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.98 is 0.43 above the ERA — regression coming
Connor Prielipp: 88 K / 4.06 ERA. Peter Lambert: 80 K / 3.98 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).