Rest of Season Projection
PeterCategorySteven
80K ←77
3.98ERA ←4.50
1.42WHIP →1.32
5–12W5–12
0SV0
Current Season
PeterCategorySteven
43K ←35
3.77ERA ←4.67
1.21WHIP ←1.24
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Peter Lambert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.98 is 0.43 above the ERA — regression coming
Steven Matz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.89 is 0.41 above the ERA — regression coming
Peter Lambert: 80 K / 3.98 ERA. Steven Matz: 77 K / 4.50 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).