Rest of Season Projection
LoganCategorySteven
96K ←80
3.99ERA ←4.49
1.34WHIP →1.32
3–5W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
LoganCategorySteven
47K ←35
4.82ERA →4.67
1.39WHIP →1.24
2W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Logan Webb
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.99)
Steven Matz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.86 is 0.38 above the ERA — regression coming
Logan Webb: 96 K / 3.99 ERA. Steven Matz: 80 K / 4.49 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).