Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategorySteven
86K ←80
4.10ERA ←4.49
1.30WHIP ←1.32
3–6W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
CarlosCategorySteven
20K →35
3.32ERA ←4.67
1.32WHIP →1.24
1W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Rodón
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.17)
Steven Matz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.86 is 0.38 above the ERA — regression coming
Carlos Rodón: 86 K / 4.10 ERA. Steven Matz: 80 K / 4.49 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).