Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryJT
31K →38
3.70ERA ←3.83
1.24WHIP ←1.28
1–3W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
ConnorCategoryJT
15K →22
3.12ERA →2.70
1.38WHIP →1.30
1W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Seabold
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.07 sits 1.03 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
JT Brubaker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.264 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.10 is 2.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Seabold's 3.70 ERA/1.24 WHIP outpaces Brubaker's 3.83/1.28. Buy the underpriced skill; sell the window.