Rest of Season Projection
JTCategoryJustin
40K ←34
3.79ERA3.78
1.27WHIP →1.26
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
JTCategoryJustin
22K ←18
2.70ERA ←4.61
1.30WHIP ←1.46
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
JT Brubaker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.72 is 2.02 above the ERA — regression coming
Justin Bruihl
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.94)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
JT Brubaker: 40 K / 3.79 ERA. Justin Bruihl: 34 K / 3.78 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).