Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryDanny
5HR →7
27R ←24
34RBI ←26
3SB ←2
.228AVG ←.176
Current Season
ConnorCategoryDanny
0HR →3
8R →11
10RBI →12
1SB1
.258AVG ←.171
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Danny Jansen
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.254)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Danny Jansen: 7 HR / 24 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).