Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryConnor
6HR ←5
31R ←27
24RBI →34
2SB →3
.227AVG.228
Current Season
BrandonCategoryConnor
4HR ←0
13R ←8
10RBI10
1SB1
.235AVG →.258
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Valenzuela
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.321)
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Brandon Valenzuela: 6 HR / 31 R. Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).