Rest of Season Projection
CooperCategoryMason
27K →51
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
CooperCategoryMason
19K →30
3.08ERA ←3.91
1.10WHIP ←1.26
2W ←1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cooper Criswell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.270 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.23 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Mason Montgomery
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.68)
Cooper Criswell: 27 K / 3.67 ERA. Mason Montgomery: 51 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).