Rest of Season Projection
CooperCategoryWill
27K →39
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
CooperCategoryWill
19K →20
3.08ERA ←7.23
1.10WHIP ←1.45
2W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cooper Criswell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.270 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.23 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Will Vest
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cooper Criswell: 27 K / 3.67 ERA. Will Vest: 39 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).