MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
KC · P
Change to
Luke Murphy
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Craig Kimbrel wins 0 (none); Luke Murphy wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
93.6
Luke Murphy
95.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
11.1%
Luke Murphy
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
20.4%
Luke Murphy
22.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
28.7%
Luke Murphy
27.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
36.6%
Luke Murphy
37.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
5.3%
Luke Murphy
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
.316
Luke Murphy
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
27.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
Luke Murphy
27.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
.9402.30
now 1.44
1.24
Luke Murphy
.9402.30
now 2.00
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
4023.80
now 17
0
Luke Murphy
4023.80
now 1
0
Winshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
.000.480
now 0
0–0
Luke Murphy
.000.480
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLuke Murphy — hold.conf 0.55
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