MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
KC · P
Change to
Samy Natera Jr.
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Craig Kimbrel wins 0 (none); Samy Natera Jr. wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
93.6
Samy Natera Jr.
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
11.1%
Samy Natera Jr.
17.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
20.4%
Samy Natera Jr.
36.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
28.7%
Samy Natera Jr.
27.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
36.6%
Samy Natera Jr.
35.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
5.3%
Samy Natera Jr.
4.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
.316
Samy Natera Jr.
.246
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
27.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
Samy Natera Jr.
27.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
.9001.82
now 1.44
1.24
Samy Natera Jr.
.9001.82
now 0.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
4023.80
now 17
0
Samy Natera Jr.
4023.80
now 3
0
Winshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
.000.480
now 0
0–0
Samy Natera Jr.
.000.480
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeSamy Natera Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet