Rest of Season Projection
DanielCategoryJuan
35K →44
3.67ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–2W ←1–2
1–3SV →3–5
Current Season
DanielCategoryJuan
27K →30
1.93ERA ←6.00
0.99WHIP ←1.70
1W1
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Daniel Lynch IV
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.239 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.67 is 0.96 above the ERA — regression coming
Juan Mejia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.393 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Daniel Lynch IV: 35 K / 3.67 ERA. Juan Mejia: 44 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).