Rest of Season Projection
JuanCategoryKyle
46K ←40
3.71ERA3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
1–2W →1–3
3–6SV ←1–4
Current Season
JuanCategoryKyle
30K ←21
6.00ERA →1.00
1.70WHIP →0.78
1W1
3SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Juan Mejia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.372 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Kyle Hurt
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.69 is 0.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Juan Mejia: 46 K / 3.71 ERA. Kyle Hurt: 40 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).