Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryKyle
34K →41
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←1–3
0SV →1–4
Current Season
ChaseCategoryKyle
20K →21
2.33ERA →1.00
0.93WHIP →0.78
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Kyle Hurt
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.66)
Chase Shugart: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Kyle Hurt: 41 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).