Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryMason
40K →51
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–3
1–4SV ←0
Current Season
KyleCategoryMason
21K →30
1.00ERA ←3.91
0.78WHIP ←1.26
1W1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Hurt
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.69 is 0.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Mason Montgomery
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.80)
Kyle Hurt: 40 K / 3.70 ERA. Mason Montgomery: 51 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).