Rest of Season Projection
DerekCategoryOneil
7HR →19
29R →63
20RBI →61
20SB →28
.208AVG →.242
Current Season
DerekCategoryOneil
3HR →13
9R →42
6RBI →41
6SB →19
.234AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Derek Hill
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.296)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Derek Hill: 7 HR / 29 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).