Rest of Season Projection
DillonCategoryLuke
14HR14
44R ←42
62RBI ←59
0SB →2
.263AVG ←.237
Current Season
DillonCategoryLuke
13HR13
27R ←22
38RBI ←31
0SB →1
.241AVG →.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dillon Dingler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.250 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Dingler's .263 AVG outpaces Raley's .237, and both project for 14 HR; Dingler adds 3 more RBI (62 vs 59). Dingler's buy-the-dip verdict offers more recovery upside. Same-position pair: the AVG gap resolves the comparison.