Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryYordan
14HR →24
42R →61
59RBI →61
2SB2
.237AVG →.309
Current Season
LukeCategoryYordan
13HR →20
22R →39
31RBI →39
1SB1
.276AVG →.301
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Yordan Alvarez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.493, +0.178 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Alvarez outpaces Raley 24 HR to 14 and .309 AVG to .237 — clear category separation across power and average within an identical buy verdict.

