Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryLuke
18HR ←14
54R ←42
54RBI →59
6SB ←2
.269AVG ←.237
Current Season
BryceCategoryLuke
13HR13
34R ←22
34RBI ←31
4SB ←1
.261AVG →.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Harper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.272 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.389, +0.074 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Harper projects for 18 HR and .269 AVG against Raley's 14 HR and .237 AVG. Both are buy verdicts; Harper's skill-floor outpaces Raley's surface.