Rest of Season Projection
DominicCategoryKyle
9HR →20
46R →54
55RBI →58
0SB →1
.297AVG ←.190
Current Season
DominicCategoryKyle
5HR →22
21R →36
25RBI →39
0SB →1
.325AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dominic Smith
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.362)
Kyle Schwarber
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.381, +0.066 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Dominic Smith: 9 HR / 46 R. Kyle Schwarber: 20 HR / 54 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).