Rest of Season Projection
JoshCategoryKyle
10HR →20
32R →54
38RBI →58
18SB ←1
.274AVG ←.190
Current Season
JoshCategoryKyle
6HR →22
21R →36
25RBI →39
12SB ←1
.254AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Josh Naylor
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.333)
Kyle Schwarber
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.381, +0.066 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Josh Naylor: 10 HR / 32 R. Kyle Schwarber: 20 HR / 54 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).