Rest of Season Projection
JoshCategoryWillson
10HR →15
32R →41
38RBI →52
18SB ←2
.274AVG ←.260
Current Season
JoshCategoryWillson
6HR →11
21R →26
25RBI →33
12SB ←1
.254AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Josh Naylor
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.333)
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.396, +0.081 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Josh Naylor: 10 HR / 32 R. Willson Contreras: 15 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).