MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEA · 1B
Change to
Portrait of Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOS · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Willson Contreras.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Willson Contreras wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Josh Naylor wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Josh Naylor
87.7
Willson Contreras
90.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Josh Naylor
36.2%
Willson Contreras
46.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Josh Naylor
4.5%
Willson Contreras
14.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Josh Naylor
37.6%
Willson Contreras
33.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Josh Naylor
9.4%
Willson Contreras
15.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Josh Naylor
.322
Willson Contreras
.387
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Josh Naylor
.230.300
lg AVG .295
now .254
.261
Willson Contreras
.230.300
lg AVG .295
now .286
.246

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Josh Naylor
514.60
now 6
2
Willson Contreras
514.60
now 11
4
Runshigher is better
Josh Naylor
2031.60
now 21
12
Willson Contreras
2031.60
now 26
15
RBIhigher is better
Josh Naylor
2040.60
now 25
14
Willson Contreras
2040.60
now 33
20
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Josh Naylor
.00016.40
now 12
7
Willson Contreras
.00016.40
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyJosh Naylor — hold.conf 0.60
BuyWillson Contreras — buy.conf 0.74
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