Rest of Season Projection
DominicCategoryWillson
14HR →15
35R →38
45RBI →48
2SB ←1
.273AVG ←.267
Current Season
DominicCategoryWillson
7HR →11
18R →26
23RBI →33
1SB1
.248AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dominic Canzone
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.374)
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.400, +0.085 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Dominic Canzone: 14 HR / 35 R. Willson Contreras: 15 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).