MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TB · 1B
Change to
Portrait of Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOS · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Willson Contreras.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Willson Contreras wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Jonathan Aranda wins 2 (R, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jonathan Aranda
91.2
Willson Contreras
90.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jonathan Aranda
45.4%
Willson Contreras
47.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jonathan Aranda
10.0%
Willson Contreras
14.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jonathan Aranda
28.0%
Willson Contreras
34.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jonathan Aranda
10.1%
Willson Contreras
14.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jonathan Aranda
.362
Willson Contreras
.394
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jonathan Aranda
.230.300
lg AVG .295
now .283
.247
Willson Contreras
.230.300
lg AVG .295
now .286
.255

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jonathan Aranda
513.40
now 11
5
Willson Contreras
513.40
now 11
6
Runshigher is better
Jonathan Aranda
2039.60
now 34
26
Willson Contreras
2039.60
now 26
20
RBIhigher is better
Jonathan Aranda
2049.80
now 43
32
Willson Contreras
2049.80
now 33
26
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jonathan Aranda
.0002.20
now 0
0
Willson Contreras
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJonathan Aranda — buy.conf 0.69
BuyWillson Contreras — buy.conf 0.76
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