Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryWillson
16HR ←15
46R ←41
58RBI ←52
2SB2
.237AVG →.260
Current Season
JakeCategoryWillson
10HR →11
29R ←26
37RBI ←33
1SB1
.242AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Burger
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.396, +0.081 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jake Burger: 16 HR / 46 R. Willson Contreras: 15 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).