Rest of Season Projection
JoshCategoryWillson
12HR →15
41R ←38
47RBI →48
1SB1
.232AVG →.267
Current Season
JoshCategoryWillson
5HR →11
28R ←26
32RBI →33
1SB1
.225AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Josh Bell
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.296 below league with no luck excuse
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.400, +0.085 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Josh Bell: 12 HR / 41 R. Willson Contreras: 15 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).