Rest of Season Projection
JoshCategoryMichael
10HR →16
32R →39
38RBI →53
18SB ←2
.274AVG ←.246
Current Season
JoshCategoryMichael
6HR6
21R →26
25RBI →35
12SB ←1
.254AVG ←.243
What Each Player's System Trusts
Josh Naylor
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.333)
Michael Busch
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.351, +0.036 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Josh Naylor: 10 HR / 32 R. Michael Busch: 16 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).