Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryMichael
9HR →16
36R →39
36RBI →53
0SB →2
.314AVG ←.246
Current Season
AndrewCategoryMichael
1HR →6
10R →26
10RBI →35
0SB →1
.354AVG ←.243
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Michael Busch
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.351, +0.036 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Michael Busch: 16 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).