Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryIldemaro
9HR ←5
36R →49
36RBI →61
0SB →2
.314AVG ←.277
Current Season
AndrewCategoryIldemaro
1HR →7
10R →30
10RBI →37
0SB →1
.354AVG ←.291
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Ildemaro Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.320)
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Ildemaro Vargas: 5 HR / 49 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).