Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryGavin
8HR →9
35R →38
35RBI →40
0SB →5
.302AVG ←.216
Current Season
AndrewCategoryGavin
1HR →9
10R →22
10RBI →23
0SB →3
.354AVG ←.245
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.355 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.337 is 0.040 below the surface — regression coming
Gavin Sheets
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.339, +0.024 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Andrew Vaughn: 8 HR / 35 R. Gavin Sheets: 9 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).