Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJosh
9HR →10
36R ←32
36RBI →38
0SB →18
.314AVG ←.274
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJosh
1HR →6
10R →21
10RBI →25
0SB →12
.354AVG ←.254
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Josh Naylor
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.333)
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Josh Naylor: 10 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).