Rest of Season Projection
DominicCategoryWillson
9HR →15
46R ←41
55RBI ←52
0SB →2
.297AVG ←.260
Current Season
DominicCategoryWillson
5HR →11
21R →26
25RBI →33
0SB →1
.325AVG ←.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dominic Smith
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.362)
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.396, +0.081 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Dominic Smith: 9 HR / 46 R. Willson Contreras: 15 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).