Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryWillson
16HR ←15
39R →41
53RBI ←52
2SB2
.246AVG →.260
Current Season
MichaelCategoryWillson
6HR →11
26R26
35RBI ←33
1SB1
.243AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Busch
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.351, +0.036 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Willson Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.396, +0.081 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Michael Busch: 16 HR / 39 R. Willson Contreras: 15 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).