Rest of Season Projection
DrakeCategoryJake
14HR ←7
57R ←15
56RBI ←15
1SB →4
.283AVG ←.190
Current Season
DrakeCategoryJake
13HR ←0
39R ←4
38RBI ←4
1SB1
.303AVG ←.137
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drake Baldwin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jake Rogers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.257)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Drake Baldwin: 14 HR / 58 R. Jake Rogers: 7 HR / 15 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).