MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 8, 2026
Portrait of Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SF · CF
Change to
Portrait of Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TOR · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Lukes.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI and average. Drew Gilbert’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Lukes wins 2 categories (RBI, AVG); Drew Gilbert wins 0 (none); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
86.1
Nathan Lukes
86.4
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
33.9%
Nathan Lukes
27.5%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
2.6%
Nathan Lukes
0.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Drew Gilbert
24.7%
Nathan Lukes
34.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Drew Gilbert
9.1%
Nathan Lukes
8.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
.310
Nathan Lukes
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Drew Gilbert
.200.330
lg AVG .295
now .231
.239
Nathan Lukes
.200.330
lg AVG .295
now .301
.251

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
54.20
now 3
1
Nathan Lukes
54.20
now 0
1
Runshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
2015.20
now 12
10
Nathan Lukes
2015.20
now 8
10
RBIhigher is better
Drew Gilbert
2015.20
now 12
10
Nathan Lukes
2015.20
now 9
11
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
.0001.20
now 0
0
Nathan Lukes
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyDrew Gilbert — hold.conf 0.60
SellNathan Lukes — sell.conf 0.61
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