MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Jack Leiter
Jack Leiter
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dustin May.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Jack Leiter’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Jack Leiter wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Jack Leiter
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.5%
Jack Leiter
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
23.1%
Jack Leiter
23.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
29.8%
Jack Leiter
30.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.1%
Jack Leiter
39.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
6.5%
Jack Leiter
10.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.306
Jack Leiter
.337
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
3.654.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.92
Jack Leiter
3.654.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.34
4.59
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.231.44
now 1.30
1.33
Jack Leiter
1.231.44
now 1.33
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4088.40
now 51
38
Jack Leiter
4088.40
now 74
52
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.2003.80
now 3
13
Jack Leiter
.2003.80
now 3
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.74
SellJack Leiter — sell.conf 0.78
Tweet