Rest of Season Projection
EduardoCategoryMitch
81K ←80
4.44ERA →4.38
1.35WHIP1.35
5–10W5–10
0SV0
Current Season
EduardoCategoryMitch
52K ←51
2.24ERA ←4.35
1.19WHIP →1.17
5W5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eduardo Rodriguez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.62 is 2.10 above the ERA — regression coming
Mitch Keller
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.53 +0.43 vs league with no luck excuse
Eduardo Rodriguez: 81 K / 4.44 ERA. Mitch Keller: 80 K / 4.38 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).