Rest of Season Projection
MitchCategoryPeter
80K ←79
4.38ERA →3.97
1.35WHIP ←1.42
5–10W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
MitchCategoryPeter
51K ←43
4.35ERA →3.77
1.17WHIP ←1.21
5W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mitch Keller
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.53 +0.43 vs league with no luck excuse
Peter Lambert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.97 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Mitch Keller: 80 K / 4.38 ERA. Peter Lambert: 79 K / 3.97 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).