Rest of Season Projection
EduardoCategoryPaul
91K →126
4.38ERA →2.28
1.37WHIP →1.04
5–11W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
EduardoCategoryPaul
52K →75
2.24ERA ←2.89
1.19WHIP →0.86
5W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eduardo Rodriguez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.53 is 2.29 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Eduardo Rodriguez: 91 K / 4.38 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).