Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryMauricio
12HR ←5
52R ←31
48RBI ←41
13SB ←0
.254AVG →.259
Current Season
EllyCategoryMauricio
12HR ←3
40R ←22
37RBI ←29
10SB ←0
.280AVG ←.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Mauricio Dubón
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Mauricio Dubón: 5 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).