MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Fernando Cruz
Fernando Cruz
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Elvis Alvarado wins 2 (WHIP, W); Fernando Cruz wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
98.9
Fernando Cruz
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
16.5%
Fernando Cruz
18.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
30.0%
Fernando Cruz
30.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
31.7%
Fernando Cruz
29.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
50.0%
Fernando Cruz
22.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
20.0%
Fernando Cruz
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
.355
Fernando Cruz
.270
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
Fernando Cruz
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.19
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
.9902.11
now 1.86
1.24
Fernando Cruz
.9902.11
now 1.30
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
4038.40
now 9
14
Fernando Cruz
4038.40
now 30
26
Winshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0006.60
now 2
25
Fernando Cruz
.0006.60
now 3
14

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighFernando Cruz — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.83
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