MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tony Santillan
Tony Santillan
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Elvis Alvarado wins 2 (ERA, W); Tony Santillan wins 2 (K, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
98.9
Tony Santillan
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
16.5%
Tony Santillan
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
30.0%
Tony Santillan
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
31.7%
Tony Santillan
28.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
50.0%
Tony Santillan
46.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
20.0%
Tony Santillan
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
.355
Tony Santillan
.348
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
Tony Santillan
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.56
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
.9902.11
now 1.86
1.24
Tony Santillan
.9902.11
now 1.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
4027.60
now 9
14
Tony Santillan
4027.60
now 22
22
Winshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0006.60
now 2
25
Tony Santillan
.0006.60
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0003.40
now 0
0
Tony Santillan
.0003.40
now 2
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTony Santillan — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet