Rest of Season Projection
EmersonCategoryNathan
97K →105
4.13ERA ←4.18
1.13WHIP ←1.19
4–9W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
EmersonCategoryNathan
70K ←67
2.80ERA ←3.93
0.95WHIP ←1.11
4W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Emerson Hancock
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.15 is 1.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Nathan Eovaldi
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.23)
Emerson Hancock: 97 K / 4.13 ERA. Nathan Eovaldi: 105 K / 4.18 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).