Rest of Season Projection
EmersonCategoryTyler
88K →101
4.28ERA →3.82
1.14WHIP ←1.27
4–8W4–9
0SV0
Current Season
EmersonCategoryTyler
70K ←49
2.80ERA →2.72
0.95WHIP →0.83
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Emerson Hancock
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.239 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.37 is 1.63 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Glasnow
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.52)
Hancock projects 90 K / 4.27 ERA vs Glasnow's 102 K / 3.82 ERA. The 12 K and 0.45 ERA gaps favor Glasnow. The verdicts confirm this.