MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer
LAD · P
Change to
Shane Bieber
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Eric Lauer wins 2 (K, W); Shane Bieber wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Eric Lauer
91.0
Shane Bieber
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
9.6%
Shane Bieber
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
15.0%
Shane Bieber
15.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Eric Lauer
32.8%
Shane Bieber
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
35.7%
Shane Bieber
45.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Eric Lauer
11.4%
Shane Bieber
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Eric Lauer
.340
Shane Bieber
.407
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Eric Lauer
3.346.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.95
4.66
Shane Bieber
3.346.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Eric Lauer
1.022.28
now 1.39
1.34
Shane Bieber
1.022.28
now 2.00
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Eric Lauer
4046.60
now 30
35
Shane Bieber
4046.60
now 6
34
Winshigher is better
Eric Lauer
.0004.20
now 2
13
Shane Bieber
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellEric Lauer — sell.conf 0.81
Hold · wait & seeShane Bieber — hold.conf 0.50
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