Rest of Season Projection
EricCategoryJordan
35K ←34
3.71ERA3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
1–4W2–5
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
EricCategoryJordan
25K ←18
3.95ERA ←6.27
1.39WHIP →1.23
2W2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Eric Orze
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.79 sits 0.31 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.327 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jordan Leasure
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.32 is 1.05 above the ERA — regression coming
Eric Orze: 35 K / 3.71 ERA. Jordan Leasure: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).