Rest of Season Projection
ErickCategoryTomoyuki
70K ←58
4.42ERA ←6.36
1.45WHIP →1.36
0–0W →5–10
0SV0
Current Season
ErickCategoryTomoyuki
34K ←31
5.40ERA →4.01
1.48WHIP →1.25
0W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Erick Fedde
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.59 +0.49 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tomoyuki Sugano
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 7.58 is 3.60 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Erick Fedde: 70 K / 4.42 ERA. Tomoyuki Sugano: 58 K / 6.36 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).