MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Ethan Pecko
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Ethan Pecko wins 1 (WHIP); Freddy Peralta wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
93.5
Freddy Peralta
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
9.8%
Freddy Peralta
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
16.4%
Freddy Peralta
21.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
29.4%
Freddy Peralta
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Ethan Pecko
39.6%
Freddy Peralta
37.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Ethan Pecko
9.9%
Freddy Peralta
5.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Ethan Pecko
.322
Freddy Peralta
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Ethan Pecko
3.015.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.91
4.10
Freddy Peralta
3.015.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
3.84
WHIPlower is better
Ethan Pecko
1.161.78
now 1.64
1.30
Freddy Peralta
1.161.78
now 1.30
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Ethan Pecko
4095.20
now 4
0
Freddy Peralta
4095.20
now 68
0
Winshigher is better
Ethan Pecko
.0004.20
now 0
0–0
Freddy Peralta
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighEthan Pecko — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.75
Hold · leans buyFreddy Peralta — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet